Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Ortiz J.
28'
28'
Alas H.
50'
50'
Sanchez E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Aguila in this Primera Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguila.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguila
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aguila lately — more wins on the board than UES.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Aguila taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
UES Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguila | UES |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 46 | 30 |
| Wins | 27 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.02 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2017 Primera Division
Aguila vs UES
3:2
Feb 16, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Aguila
0:1
Nov 6, 2016 Primera Division
Aguila vs UES
5:1
Sep 9, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Aguila
0:1
Mar 30, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Aguila
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguila Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabezas J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
UES Compare
Top Goalscorer Alas H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aguila 50 / 100
UES 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aguila UES
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguila's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 46 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
UES let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Aguila remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aguila VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aguila
(Home) 03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1 Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1 Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0 Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1 Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1 Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 10
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1 Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1 Inter Santa Tecla
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1 Inca Aruba
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2 Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1 Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 5
UES
(Away) 30 Apr
UES
1 : 0 Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0 UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2 UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0 CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0 UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2 UES
06 Apr
Metapan
0 : 0 UES
25 Mar
Dragon
2 : 0 UES
18 Mar
Santa Tecla
0 : 0 UES
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 38:21 | 44 |
| 2 | Aguila | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 25:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Santa Tecla | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36:27 | 34 |
| 4 | Metapan | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:21 | 34 |
| 5 | Luis Angel Firpo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 31 |
| 6 | FAS | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | 27 |
| 8 | Pasaquina | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 26 |
| 9 | UES | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 28:32 | 26 |
| 10 | Dragon | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24:30 | 25 |
| 11 | CD Sonsonate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 24:36 | 21 |
| 12 | Chalatenango | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:39 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
