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Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Ontaneda J.
14'
Vasquez A.
21'
Fagundez F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Aguilas Doradas and Santa Fe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas Doradas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aguilas Doradas
30%
Draws
47%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguilas Doradas haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe
2:1
Jan 19, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Jul 22, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricaurte A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lozano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas 36 / 100
Santa Fe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas Doradas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Santa Fe let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Aguilas Doradas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas Doradas VS Santa Fe
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas Doradas

(Home)
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe

(Away)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
20 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)