Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellín
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
09:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguilas Doradas host Santa Fe in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Santa Fe have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Aguilas Doradas have conceded 1 and scored 1.57. Past meetings favor Aguilas Doradas slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.44) point toward Santa Fe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Aguilas Doradas
22%
Draws
18%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguilas Doradas haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • Aguilas Doradas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas Santa Fe
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 14
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Jul 22, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas
0:0
Mar 25, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas 68 / 100
Santa Fe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aguilas Doradas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aguilas Doradas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Fe conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas Doradas VS Santa Fe
1.57 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas Doradas

(Home)
26 May
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
21 May
Aguilas Doradas
1 : 1
Dep. Pereira
18 May
Ind. Yumbo
1 : 4
Aguilas Doradas
10 May
Aguilas Doradas
0 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
03 May
Ind. Medellin
1 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe

(Away)
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1
Santa Fe
24 May
Junior
1 : 0
Santa Fe
20 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Platense
17 May
Santa Fe
1 : 1
Junior
13 May
Santa Fe
4 : 0
America De Cali
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chico00000:00
2Ind. Medellin00000:00
3America De Cali00000:00
4Santa Fe00000:00
5Inter Bogotá00000:00
6Dep. Cali00000:00
7Atl. Nacional00000:00
8Bucaramanga00000:00
9Cucuta00000:00
10Dep. Pasto00000:00
11Deportes Tolima00000:00
12Junior00000:00
13Millonarios00000:00
14Once Caldas00000:00
15Dep. Pereira00000:00
16Aguilas Doradas00000:00
17Alianza00000:00
18Fortaleza C.E.I.F.00000:00
19Llaneros00000:00
20Jaguares de Cordoba00000:00
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)