Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC B

2 - 1

Molinense

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Gonzalez L.

20'

Martinez F.

29'

Gonzalez L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Aguilas FC B and Molinense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas FC B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Aguilas FC B

28%

Draws

22%

Molinense

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Molinense come out ahead of Aguilas FC B on wins alone.
Model gives Aguilas FC B a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 68%

Molinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aguilas FC B	Molinense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	15
Draws	8	8
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC B vs Molinense

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Molinense vs Aguilas FC B

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

4:2

Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC B vs Molinense

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Dec 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Molinense vs Aguilas FC B

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 59 / 100

Molinense 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aguilas FC B Molinense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aguilas FC B stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Molinense let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Molinense

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Cieza	34	21	10	3	65:21	73
2	Real Murcia B	34	17	8	9	59:44	59
3	Molinense	34	17	8	9	46:34	59
4	Club Olimpico de Totana	34	15	13	6	44:27	58
5	Mazarron CF	34	14	14	6	50:33	56
6	UCAM Murcia B	34	13	16	5	55:37	55
7	Aguilas FC B	34	14	10	10	47:42	52
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	11	10	30:29	50
9	Santa Cruz	34	14	6	14	35:37	48
10	Minerva	34	11	11	12	28:39	44
11	Bala Azul	34	8	16	10	39:36	40
12	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	9	11	14	40:39	38
13	Deportivo Maritimo	34	9	9	16	38:46	36
14	E.G. El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27:48	32
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38:64	32
16	Caravaca	34	6	13	15	33:44	31
17	Muleno CF	34	6	13	15	33:58	31
18	Yeclano B	34	6	9	19	25:54	27