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Aguilas FC B vs Molinense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gonzalez L.
20' Event
Martinez F.
29' Event
Gonzalez L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Aguilas FC B and Molinense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas FC B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Aguilas FC B
35%
Draws
40%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molinense come out ahead of Aguilas FC B on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 19%
Molinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Molinense
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Molinense
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Molinense
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Aguilas FC B
4:2
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Molinense
0:1
Dec 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Aguilas FC B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 32 / 100
Molinense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aguilas FC B stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Molinense let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Molinense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
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Molinense

(Away)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)