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Aguilas FC B vs Real Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Aguilas FC B Logo

Aguilas FC B

4 - 0
FT
Real Murcia B Logo

Real Murcia B

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Cobo M.
45' Event
Santos M.
51' Event
Hernandez F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Aguilas FC B and Real Murcia B finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas FC B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aguilas FC B
35%
Draws
24%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Real Murcia B haven't matched Aguilas FC B's recent run of results.
  • Aguilas FC B are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aguilas FC B have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 68%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Real Murcia B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Real Murcia B
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Aguilas FC B
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Aguilas FC B
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Real Murcia B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Real Murcia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 77 / 100
Real Murcia B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Real Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguilas FC B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Real Murcia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Real Murcia B
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

Real Murcia B

(Away)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)