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Aguilas FC B vs Santomera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
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Match Events

37' Event
Garcia J.
57' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Aguilas FC B and Santomera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas FC B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Aguilas FC B
35%
Draws
47%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguilas FC B have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Santomera are scoring more at 1.41.
  • Win probability leans Santomera's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 18%
Santomera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Santomera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Santomera
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Aguilas FC B
2:2
Mar 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Aguilas FC B
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Santomera
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santomera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 28 / 100
Santomera 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Aguilas FC B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Santomera
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
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Santomera

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)