Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguilas FC B vs Santomera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Garcia J.
57' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Aguilas FC B and Santomera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas FC B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Aguilas FC B
15%
Draws
35%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Santomera haven't matched Aguilas FC B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aguilas FC B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 68%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Santomera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Santomera
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Aguilas FC B
2:2
Mar 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Aguilas FC B
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Santomera
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Santomera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 68 / 100
Santomera 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Aguilas FC B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Santomera
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
Mazarron CF
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
Deportivo Maritimo
1 : 2
Aguilas FC B
11 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

Santomera

(Away)
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1
Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3
Santomera
19 Apr
Santomera
3 : 1
Yeclano B
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0
Santomera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron CF 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)