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Aguilas FC vs Alcoyano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Martinez H.
64' Event
El Arbaoui Y.
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aguilas FC
20%
Draws
57%
Alcoyano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguilas FC lately — more wins on the board than Alcoyano.
  • Alcoyano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 22%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Alcoyano
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Alcoyano
3:0
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Alcoyano vs Aguilas FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Arbaoui Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alcoyano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 29 / 100
Alcoyano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Alcoyano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcoyano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aguilas FC scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Alcoyano let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Aguilas FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Alcoyano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Sant Andreu
2 : 0
Aguilas FC
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Alcoyano

(Away)
04 Oct
Mallorca B
0 : 1
Alcoyano
27 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Deportiva Minera
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
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