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Aguilas FC vs Hercules - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
28'
Vazquez S.
45'
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

Hercules in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aguilas FC
20%
Draws
57%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC have won more games recently than Hercules.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Hercules Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Hercules
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Aguilas FC vs Hercules
0:1
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Hercules
1:2
Aug 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Hercules
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Aguilas FC vs Hercules
1:1
Dec 5, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Hercules vs Aguilas FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 32 / 100
Hercules 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Hercules has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Aguilas FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Hercules
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Sant Andreu
2 : 0
Aguilas FC
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Hercules

(Away)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
9 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)