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Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Martinez A.
90' Event
Escarabajal N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Aguilas FC and Lorca Deportiva finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aguilas FC
35%
Draws
19%
Lorca Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aguilas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aguilas FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Lorca Deportiva
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.29 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
1:0
Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC
0:1
Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Escarabajal N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lorca Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 42 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Lorca Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Lorca Deportiva has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Aguilas FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lorca Deportiva's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Lorca Deportiva
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Sant Andreu
2 : 0
Aguilas FC
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
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Lorca Deportiva

(Away)
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1
Murcia
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