Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026

Aguilas FC

3 - 1

Malaga B

Our Tip

Match Events

Martinez F.

32'

Sanchez R.

63'

Terranova J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Aguilas FC

Draws

Malaga B

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aguilas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Aguilas FC have won more games recently than Malaga B.
Aguilas FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 68%

Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aguilas FC	Malaga B
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	18	5
Draws	5	4
Losses	8	21
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Aguilas FC vs Malaga B

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Oct 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Malaga B vs Aguilas FC

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Terranova J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Malaga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 95 / 100

Malaga B 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aguilas FC Malaga B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malaga B conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Aguilas FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aguilas FC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Malaga B

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 100%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Extremadura	34	17	12	5	54:38	63
2	Deportiva Minera	34	19	6	9	50:33	63
3	Aguilas FC	34	18	7	9	45:25	61
4	Xerez CD	34	17	8	9	32:24	59
5	Jaen	34	16	10	8	43:33	58
6	Recreativo Huelva	34	16	9	9	41:25	57
7	UCAM Murcia	34	16	7	11	49:41	55
8	Linares	34	11	14	9	42:45	47
9	La Union (Malacitano)	34	13	6	15	44:43	45
10	Lorca Deportiva	34	12	9	13	32:36	45
11	Yeclano	34	12	8	14	33:33	44
12	Antoniano	34	12	8	14	38:40	44
13	CD Estepona	34	12	8	14	40:44	44
14	Puente Genil	34	10	10	14	28:37	40
15	Xerez Deportivo FC	34	8	12	14	34:43	36
16	Melilla	34	7	13	14	36:40	34
17	Almeria B	34	4	9	21	26:53	21
18	Malaga B	34	5	6	23	32:66	21