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Aguilas FC vs Puente Genil

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Martinez C.
21' Event
Martinez C.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Vela Resina I.

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Aguilas FC
11%
Draws
9%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Aguilas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguilas FC have won more games recently than Puente Genil.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Aguilas FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 68%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Puente Genil
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs Puente Genil
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs Aguilas FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castedo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Vela Resina I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 86 / 100
Puente Genil 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aguilas FC scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Puente Genil let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Puente Genil
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0
UD Poblense
17 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 1
Utebo FC
10 May
Utebo FC
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0
Almeria B
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Puente Genil

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
12 Apr
Puente Genil
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
05 Apr
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)