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Ahlafors vs Gauthiod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024
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Match Events

27' Event
Wadensten J.

AI Match Summary

Ahlafors in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ahlafors
20%
Draws
29%
Gauthiod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahlafors lately — more wins on the board than Gauthiod.
  • Model gives Ahlafors a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
Gauthiod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Gauthiod
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.09 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Gauthiod vs Ahlafors
4:4
May 23, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Gauthiod
1:0
Aug 12, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Gauthiod
2:0
Apr 23, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Gauthiod vs Ahlafors
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Gauthiod vs Ahlafors
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Wadensten J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Gauthiod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
Gauthiod 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Gauthiod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Gauthiod let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Ahlafors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 7

Gauthiod

(Away)
24 Jun
Gauthiod
2 : 3
IK Zenith
20 Oct
Gauthiod
2 : 2
IFK Skovde
13 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
Gauthiod
05 Oct
Gauthiod
1 : 3
Motala
28 Sept
Gauthiod
4 : 4
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Skovde 26 19 4 3 61:25 61
2 Kongahalla 26 14 5 7 52:37 47
3 Herrestads AIF 26 13 6 7 46:30 45
4 Ahlafors 26 10 9 7 47:41 39
5 Lidkoping 26 10 9 7 38:34 39
6 Grebbestad 26 11 5 10 59:38 38
7 Kumla 26 10 8 8 49:46 38
8 Motala 26 10 7 9 47:51 37
9 Vanersborgs FK 26 10 3 13 38:48 33
10 Forward 26 6 10 10 38:39 28
11 Vanersborgs IF 26 7 6 13 30:47 27
12 Stenungsunds IF 26 5 9 12 28:44 24
13 Gauthiod 26 6 6 14 36:62 24
14 Saffle SK 26 5 5 16 29:56 20
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)