Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahlafors vs Grebbestad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Zetterlund J.
56' Event
Zetterlund J.
68' Event
Book R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Ahlafors and Grebbestad finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ahlafors
20%
Draws
23%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grebbestad come out ahead of Ahlafors on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ahlafors a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ahlafors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 15%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Grebbestad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Grebbestad
3:1
May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Ahlafors
0:2
Aug 8, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Ahlafors
1:0
May 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Grebbestad
2:1
Jun 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Grebbestad
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Zetterlund J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akerman O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Book R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 84 / 100
Grebbestad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Grebbestad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Grebbestad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Ahlafors has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Grebbestad
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Lidkoping
2 : 2
Ahlafors
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
08 Aug
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Karlstad II
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Grebbestad

(Away)
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1
Lidkoping
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2
Grebbestad
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 20 17 3 0 50:15 54
2 Skara 21 14 5 2 46:22 47
3 IFK Skovde 21 12 5 4 38:24 41
4 Ahlafors 20 9 7 4 45:24 34
5 Grebbestad 21 10 3 8 36:31 33
6 Herrestads AIF 20 8 7 5 38:34 31
7 Vanersborgs FK 21 8 4 9 28:34 28
8 Stenungsunds IF 21 7 6 8 35:29 27
9 Motala 21 5 8 8 28:29 23
10 Kumla 21 5 7 9 20:37 22
11 Lidkoping 20 4 6 10 21:38 18
12 Tord 21 2 9 10 23:36 15
13 Karlstad II 21 2 7 12 23:41 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 21 2 3 16 21:58 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)