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Ahlafors vs Kumla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Akerman O.
3' Event
Own Goal
12' Event
Zetterlund A.

AI Match Summary

Ahlafors in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
37%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ahlafors have won more games recently than Kumla.
  • Ahlafors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Kumla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Kumla
7:1
Jun 7, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Ahlafors
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Kumla
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Ahlafors
2:4
Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Ahlafors
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zetterlund A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
Kumla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Kumla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Ahlafors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Kumla
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
17 Oct
Herrestads AIF
2 : 6
Ahlafors
10 Oct
Ahlafors
1 : 3
Stenungsunds IF
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

Kumla

(Away)
17 Oct
Kumla
3 : 1
Karlstad II
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 26 21 3 2 59:20 66
2 Skara 26 18 5 3 58:28 59
3 IFK Skovde 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Ahlafors 26 13 7 6 62:33 46
5 Grebbestad 26 12 4 10 46:40 40
6 Stenungsunds IF 26 11 6 9 47:34 39
7 Herrestads AIF 26 10 7 9 46:49 37
8 Lidkoping 26 9 6 11 35:43 33
9 Vanersborgs FK 26 9 5 12 36:45 32
10 Kumla 26 7 8 11 29:46 29
11 Motala 26 6 8 12 38:47 26
12 Tord 26 4 10 12 30:47 22
13 Karlstad II 26 3 7 16 29:50 16
14 Vanersborgs IF 26 2 3 21 24:74 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)