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Ahlafors vs Motala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Akerman O.
8' Event
Ali K.
9' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Ahlafors in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ahlafors
20%
Draws
29%
Motala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ahlafors have won more games recently than Motala.
  • Win probability leans Ahlafors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
Motala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Motala
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Motala
6:2
Apr 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Ahlafors
3:2
Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Motala
3:3
May 11, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Ahlafors
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Ahlafors
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zetterlund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
Motala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Motala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Motala conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ahlafors stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Motala
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
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Motala

(Away)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
27 Sept
Motala
4 : 0
Herrestads AIF
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 24 8 4 12 30:40 28
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 24 6 7 11 23:42 25
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)