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Ahlafors vs Skara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ericsson L.
16' Event
Zetterlund J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
49%
Skara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Skara have won more games recently than Ahlafors.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 15%
Skara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Skara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.14 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Ahlafors
1:0
Jun 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Skara
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Skara
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Ahlafors
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ericsson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 31 / 100
Skara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Skara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Skara let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ahlafors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Skara
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

Skara

(Away)
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)