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Stadium Background

Ahlafors vs Tord

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Larsson L.
43' Event
Akerman O.
72' Event
Furublad H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Ahlafors and Tord finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
39%
Tord
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahlafors come out ahead of Tord on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ahlafors a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
Tord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Tord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Tord
2:2
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Ahlafors
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Ahlafors
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Tord
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Furublad H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ismail I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
Tord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Tord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tord has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ahlafors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Tord
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Lidkoping
2 : 2
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

Tord

(Away)
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
22 Aug
Skara
2 : 1
Tord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 22 10 7 5 47:25 37
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 22 2 3 17 23:63 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)