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Ahlen vs Turkspor Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 game between Ahlen and Turkspor Dortmund finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ahlen
15%
Draws
34%
Turkspor Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Turkspor Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ahlen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ahlen have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ahlen Clean Sheet 16%
Turkspor Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlen Turkspor Dortmund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Turkspor Dortmund
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Turkspor Dortmund vs Ahlen
4:2
Jan 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Ahlen vs Turkspor Dortmund
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlen 48 / 100
Turkspor Dortmund 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlen Turkspor Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkspor Dortmund has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ahlen scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Turkspor Dortmund registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlen VS Turkspor Dortmund
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlen

(Home)
31 May
Ahlen
3 : 4
Eintracht Rheine
25 May
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 0
Ahlen
17 May
Verl II
1 : 4
Ahlen
10 May
Hiltrup
1 : 0
Ahlen
06 May
Westfalia Rhynern
1 : 2
Ahlen
Page 1 of 6

Turkspor Dortmund

(Away)
31 May
Turkspor Dortmund
3 : 5
Westfalia Rhynern
25 May
Eintracht Rheine
2 : 1
Turkspor Dortmund
17 May
Turkspor Dortmund
1 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld II
10 May
Verl II
2 : 0
Turkspor Dortmund
03 May
Turkspor Dortmund
5 : 0
Hiltrup
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)