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Ahli Khartoum vs Alamal SC Atbara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ahli Khartoum
35%
Draws
32%
Alamal SC Atbara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Alamal SC Atbara have won more games recently than Ahli Khartoum.
  • Win probability leans Alamal SC Atbara's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 15%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahli Khartoum Alamal SC Atbara
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.41 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Ahli Khartoum
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1
Dec 30, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:0
Jul 12, 2022 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Ahli Khartoum
0:2
Mar 15, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alamal SC Atbara
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahli Khartoum 15 / 100
Alamal SC Atbara 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahli Khartoum Alamal SC Atbara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alamal SC Atbara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Khartoum found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Alamal SC Atbara has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ahli Khartoum has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ahli Khartoum VS Alamal SC Atbara
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahli Khartoum

(Home)
13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1
Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0
Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4
Madani
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Alamal SC Atbara

(Away)
13 Feb
Al Merreikh II
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
09 Feb
Al Hilal Karima
1 : 0
Alamal SC Atbara
03 Feb
Al Ahly Merowe
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
31 Jan
Al Saham Ad Damer
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
26 Jan
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 0
Alamal SC Atbara
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Mergheni 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
2 Hilal Alsahil 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
3 Al Shorta 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
4 Al Hilal Manaqil 8 2 3 3 8:7 9
5 Hay al Arab 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
6 Wad Nobawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Merreikh Obeid 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Zamala Ruwaba 10 4 5 1 16:11 17
3 Rabita Kosti 10 3 5 2 8:9 14
4 Hilal El-Fasher 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
5 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Merikh Nyala 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hay Al Wadi 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
2 Umm Mughad 6 1 5 0 5:4 8
3 Al Ahly Merowe 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Kober 6 1 1 4 3:6 4
5 Al Zoma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Tuti 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 Alamal SC Atbara 8 3 5 0 11:7 14
3 Ahli Khartoum 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
4 Alfalah Atbra 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
5 Ahli Shendi 8 1 2 5 2:7 5
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)