Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Kosti

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ahli Khartoum
20%
Draws
40%
Merikh Kosti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahli Khartoum lately — more wins on the board than Merikh Kosti.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Merikh Kosti taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 19%
Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahli Khartoum Merikh Kosti
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Kosti
1:5
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum
0:0
Oct 3, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum
3:2
Aug 18, 2018 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Kosti
0:0
Sep 13, 2017 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahli Khartoum 28 / 100
Merikh Kosti 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahli Khartoum Merikh Kosti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merikh Kosti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merikh Kosti has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ahli Khartoum scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Merikh Kosti registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahli Khartoum VS Merikh Kosti
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahli Khartoum

(Home)
13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1
Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0
Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4
Madani
Page 1 of 7

Merikh Kosti

(Away)
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
10 Feb
Merikh Kosti
2 : 3
Madani
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
02 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
0 : 0
Merikh Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alamal SC Atbara 18 9 6 3 22:12 33
2 Wad Hashim Sennar 18 7 8 3 22:19 29
3 Al Shorta 18 7 7 4 23:17 28
4 Hay Al Wadi 18 7 6 5 17:14 27
5 Al Hilal Kadougli 18 6 8 4 16:12 26
6 Ahli Khartoum 18 6 8 4 19:16 26
7 El-Ahli Atbara 18 6 6 6 20:22 24
8 Kober 18 6 5 7 22:21 23
9 Merikh Kosti 18 5 4 9 16:23 19
10 Merikh Nyala 18 1 2 15 13:34 5
Relegation - Premier League 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2018 (Relegation)