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Ahli Khartoum vs Merreikh El-Fasher

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Ahli Khartoum and Merreikh El-Fasher finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahli Khartoum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ahli Khartoum
11%
Draws
80%
Merreikh El-Fasher
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Merreikh El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahli Khartoum come out ahead of Merreikh El-Fasher on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Merreikh El-Fasher's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 20%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahli Khartoum Merreikh El-Fasher
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merreikh El-Fasher
1:0
Feb 23, 2021 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Ahli Khartoum
0:0
Sep 16, 2020 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Ahli Khartoum
2:1
Feb 26, 2020 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Ahli Khartoum
0:0
Nov 11, 2019 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahli Khartoum 12 / 100
Merreikh El-Fasher 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahli Khartoum Merreikh El-Fasher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Khartoum found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Away concern: Merreikh El-Fasher has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Merreikh El-Fasher conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ahli Khartoum VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30254175:1079
2Al-Merreikh30208250:1668
3Hay Al Wadi301211735:2547
4Hay al-Arab301191026:3242
5Al-Khartoum301181134:3441
6Hilal El Obied301011925:3241
7Alamal SC Atbara301091125:2939
8Al-Ahly Merowe309111024:2838
9Hilal El-Fasher301081235:4138
10Hilal Alsahil301051527:3335
11Al Shorta308111126:3635
12Ahli Shendi30971421:2734
13Tuti30891324:3933
14Ahli Khartoum307111217:2832
15Al Hilal Kadougli305101522:3925
16Merreikh El-Fasher30661815:3224