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Ahli Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Ahli Shendi and Alfalah Atbra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahli Shendi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ahli Shendi
6%
Draws
4%
Alfalah Atbra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ahli Shendi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Ahli Shendi and Alfalah Atbra close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Ahli Shendi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Ahli Shendi Clean Sheet 20%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahli Shendi Alfalah Atbra
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Ahli Shendi
1:0
Apr 6, 2023 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra
0:0
Nov 23, 2022 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Ahli Shendi
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahli Shendi 85 / 100
Alfalah Atbra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahli Shendi Alfalah Atbra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Alfalah Atbra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ahli Shendi found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).

Alfalah Atbra let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ahli Shendi VS Alfalah Atbra
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75