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Ahrensburg vs Dornbreite Lubeck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ahrensburg in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahrensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ahrensburg
15%
Draws
85%
Dornbreite Lubeck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dornbreite Lubeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahrensburg lately — more wins on the board than Dornbreite Lubeck.
  • Win probability leans Ahrensburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ahrensburg here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ahrensburg Clean Sheet 19%
Dornbreite Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrensburg Dornbreite Lubeck
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2013 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Ahrensburg vs Dornbreite Lubeck
3:1
Aug 14, 2013 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Ahrensburg
1:2
May 18, 2013 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Ahrensburg
1:0
Oct 7, 2012 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Ahrensburg vs Dornbreite Lubeck
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrensburg 85 / 100
Dornbreite Lubeck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrensburg Dornbreite Lubeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahrensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dornbreite Lubeck has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Dornbreite Lubeck has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ahrensburg's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ahrensburg VS Dornbreite Lubeck
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrensburg

(Home)
01 Jul
Eimsbutteler
1 : 0
Ahrensburg
24 May
Todesfelde
7 : 3
Ahrensburg
18 May
Ahrensburg
1 : 2
Flensburg 08
11 May
Meldorf
2 : 1
Ahrensburg
04 May
Ahrensburg
1 : 2
TSV Kropp
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Dornbreite Lubeck

(Away)
17 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 1
Eutin 08
09 May
Kilia Kiel
5 : 0
Dornbreite Lubeck
03 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 3
Nordmark Satrup
26 Apr
Rotenhof
4 : 0
Dornbreite Lubeck
12 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 9
PSV Neumunster
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