Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahrensfelde vs Hansa Rostock II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ahrensfelde play Hansa Rostock II in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025. Hansa Rostock II are favorites here. Recently, Ahrensfelde averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Hansa Rostock II averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Ahrensfelde won 1, Hansa Rostock II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Ahrensfelde and 1.24 for Hansa Rostock II. This points to a Hansa Rostock II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ahrensfelde
15%
Draws
61%
Hansa Rostock II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hansa Rostock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Ahrensfelde picked up more points recently compared to Hansa Rostock II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Ahrensfelde Clean Sheet 19%
Hansa Rostock II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrensfelde Hansa Rostock II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Ahrensfelde vs Hansa Rostock II
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hansa Rostock II vs Ahrensfelde
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrensfelde Compare

Top Goalscorer Graupner N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scheffler T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hansa Rostock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Hahnel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dei R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrensfelde 25 / 100
Hansa Rostock II 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrensfelde Hansa Rostock II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hansa Rostock II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hansa Rostock II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ahrensfelde attacking → ← attacking Hansa Rostock II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahrensfelde scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Hansa Rostock II let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ahrensfelde went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hansa Rostock II lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 57
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BFC Preussen30207377:2267
2Lichtenberg30206488:2866
3Mahlsdorf30206482:3266
4Hansa Rostock II30193896:4660
5TUS Makkabi30139860:4148
6Sparta Lichtenberg301461076:6648
7TSG Neustrelitz301361156:4845
8Berliner AK 07301281050:3744
9TB Berlin301331474:7142
10SV Tasmania Berlin301241451:5140
11Dynamo Schwerin301131651:6836
12Wismar301051555:6835
13Rathenow30791446:5730
14SC Staaken30921948:7329
15Ahrensfelde30571846:7522
16Rostocker FC30003010:1830