Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahrensfelde vs Rostocker FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Goerlitz M.
11' Event
Scheffler T.
13' Event
Goerlitz M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 game between Ahrensfelde and Rostocker FC finished 12-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahrensfelde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ahrensfelde
15%
Draws
0%
Rostocker FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahrensfelde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahrensfelde come out ahead of Rostocker FC on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ahrensfelde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ahrensfelde Clean Sheet 10%
Rostocker FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrensfelde Rostocker FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 19 30
Goals Scored 1.47 0.33
Goals Conceded 2.6 6.2
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Ahrensfelde vs Rostocker FC
12:1
Sep 1, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rostocker FC vs Ahrensfelde
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrensfelde Compare

Top Goalscorer Goerlitz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gurklys L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Rostocker FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kremer D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrensfelde 83 / 100
Rostocker FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrensfelde Rostocker FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahrensfelde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rostocker FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Rostocker FC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ahrensfelde scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ahrensfelde VS Rostocker FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
3.88 Goals Conceded 7.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrensfelde

(Home)
26 Jul
Lichtenberg
3 : 1
Ahrensfelde
16 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Ahrensfelde
13 Jul
Ahrensfelde
0 : 5
Union Berlin
31 May
Ahrensfelde
2 : 2
Rathenow
24 May
Dynamo Schwerin
4 : 0
Ahrensfelde
Page 1 of 6

Rostocker FC

(Away)
26 Jun
Rostocker FC
0 : 7
Hansa Rostock
31 May
TB Berlin
8 : 0
Rostocker FC
23 May
Rostocker FC
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock II
16 May
TSG Neustrelitz
8 : 0
Rostocker FC
11 May
SV Tasmania Berlin
10 : 2
Rostocker FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Preussen 30 20 7 3 77:22 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 20 6 4 88:28 66
3 Mahlsdorf 30 20 6 4 82:32 66
4 Hansa Rostock II 30 19 3 8 96:46 60
5 TUS Makkabi 30 13 9 8 60:41 48
6 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 14 6 10 76:66 48
7 TSG Neustrelitz 30 13 6 11 56:48 45
8 Berliner AK 07 30 12 8 10 50:37 44
9 TB Berlin 30 13 3 14 74:71 42
10 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 12 4 14 51:51 40
11 Dynamo Schwerin 30 11 3 16 51:68 36
12 Wismar 30 10 5 15 55:68 35
13 Rathenow 30 7 9 14 46:57 30
14 SC Staaken 30 9 2 19 48:73 29
15 Ahrensfelde 30 5 7 18 46:75 22
16 Rostocker FC 30 0 0 30 10:183 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)