Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahrensfelde vs SC Staaken

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Scheffler T.
87'
Gakpeto E.
90' Event
Schulte F.

AI Match Summary

Ahrensfelde in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahrensfelde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ahrensfelde
15%
Draws
76%
SC Staaken
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Staaken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Staaken have won more games recently than Ahrensfelde.
  • Win probability leans SC Staaken's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ahrensfelde Clean Sheet 10%
SC Staaken Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrensfelde SC Staaken
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.47 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Ahrensfelde vs SC Staaken
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SC Staaken vs Ahrensfelde
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrensfelde Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheffler T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schulte F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

SC Staaken Compare

Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrensfelde 10 / 100
SC Staaken 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrensfelde SC Staaken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Staaken Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Staaken has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ahrensfelde scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ahrensfelde remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ahrensfelde VS SC Staaken
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
4.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrensfelde

(Home)
26 Jul
Lichtenberg
3 : 1
Ahrensfelde
16 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Ahrensfelde
13 Jul
Ahrensfelde
0 : 5
Union Berlin
31 May
Ahrensfelde
2 : 2
Rathenow
24 May
Dynamo Schwerin
4 : 0
Ahrensfelde
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SC Staaken

(Away)
17 Jan
Rsv Eintracht
5 : 2
SC Staaken
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Berliner AK 07
2 : 0
SC Staaken
23 May
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Preussen 30 20 7 3 77:22 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 20 6 4 88:28 66
3 Mahlsdorf 30 20 6 4 82:32 66
4 Hansa Rostock II 30 19 3 8 96:46 60
5 TUS Makkabi 30 13 9 8 60:41 48
6 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 14 6 10 76:66 48
7 TSG Neustrelitz 30 13 6 11 56:48 45
8 Berliner AK 07 30 12 8 10 50:37 44
9 TB Berlin 30 13 3 14 74:71 42
10 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 12 4 14 51:51 40
11 Dynamo Schwerin 30 11 3 16 51:68 36
12 Wismar 30 10 5 15 55:68 35
13 Rathenow 30 7 9 14 46:57 30
14 SC Staaken 30 9 2 19 48:73 29
15 Ahrensfelde 30 5 7 18 46:75 22
16 Rostocker FC 30 0 0 30 10:183 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)