Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Vorskla Poltava

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Yunist Stadium, Volochysk
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kozak B.
31' Event
Tolochko R.
38'
Shershen M.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Vorskla Poltava finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahrobiznes Volochysk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
35%
Draws
19%
Vorskla Poltava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahrobiznes Volochysk come out ahead of Vorskla Poltava on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ahrobiznes Volochysk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ahrobiznes Volochysk have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrobiznes Volochysk Vorskla Poltava
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Persha Liga
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Vorskla Poltava
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0:0
Dec 2, 2020 Ukrainian Cup
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Vorskla Poltava
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrobiznes Volochysk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozak B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tolochko R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrobiznes Volochysk 86 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Vorskla Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahrobiznes Volochysk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vorskla Poltava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Ahrobiznes Volochysk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ahrobiznes Volochysk VS Vorskla Poltava
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 : 2
UCSA
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
3 : 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6

Vorskla Poltava

(Away)
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1
Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0
Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1
Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)