Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Shala E.
74' Event
Kesikci H.
82' Event
Bohm L.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023 game between Ahrweiler and Elversberg II finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahrweiler.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ahrweiler
35%
Draws
32%
Elversberg II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ahrweiler haven't matched Elversberg II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ahrweiler a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 15%
Elversberg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrweiler Elversberg II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II
3:1
Apr 8, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrweiler Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesikci H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bohm L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Elversberg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Shala E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrweiler 41 / 100
Elversberg II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrweiler Elversberg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ahrweiler remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ahrweiler's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ahrweiler VS Elversberg II
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrweiler

(Home)
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
12 Sept
Hertha Wiesbach
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
09 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 2
Cosmos Koblenz
05 Sept
TuS Koblenz
0 : 0
Ahrweiler
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Elversberg II

(Away)
26 Sept
Cosmos Koblenz
2 : 1
Elversberg II
23 Sept
Elversberg II
2 : 1
Schott Mainz
19 Sept
Elversberg II
0 : 0
Engers
12 Sept
Emmelshausen-Karbach
2 : 0
Elversberg II
05 Sept
Eisbachtal
2 : 2
Elversberg II
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