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Aigle Moungo vs AS Fortuna Mfou

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite One Stade Municipal de Melong, Melong
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Asah S.
45' Event
Asah S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Elite One game between Aigle Moungo and AS Fortuna Mfou finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Fortuna Mfou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Aigle Moungo
15%
Draws
31%
AS Fortuna Mfou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aigle Moungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aigle Moungo come out ahead of AS Fortuna Mfou on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Elite One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Aigle Moungo Clean Sheet 68%
AS Fortuna Mfou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Moungo AS Fortuna Mfou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Aigle Moungo
0:2
Mar 15, 2026 Elite One
Aigle Moungo vs AS Fortuna Mfou
0:2
May 10, 2025 Elite One
Aigle Moungo vs AS Fortuna Mfou
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Aigle Moungo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aigle Moungo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

AS Fortuna Mfou Compare

Top Goalscorer Asah S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Moungo 41 / 100
AS Fortuna Mfou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Moungo AS Fortuna Mfou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aigle Moungo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Moungo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

AS Fortuna Mfou has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Aigle Moungo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Moungo VS AS Fortuna Mfou
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Moungo

(Home)
28 Jun
Aigle Moungo
2 : 1
Bamenda
21 Jun
Panthere
4 : 0
Aigle Moungo
14 Jun
Aigle Royal
0 : 1
Aigle Moungo
08 Jun
Fauve Azur Elite
2 : 3
Aigle Moungo
04 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
0 : 2
Aigle Moungo
Page 1 of 6

AS Fortuna Mfou

(Away)
01 Jul
APEJES Academy
2 : 0
AS Fortuna Mfou
27 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 2
Stade Renard
21 Jun
Fauve Azur Elite
2 : 4
AS Fortuna Mfou
14 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
2 : 1
Victoria United
07 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 1
Bamenda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombe 26 16 7 3 47:13 55
2 Dynamo Douala 26 17 4 5 54:25 55
3 Bafang 26 15 4 7 44:37 49
4 Cotonsport 26 12 8 6 37:23 44
5 Canon Yaounde 26 10 9 7 31:20 39
6 Panthere 26 10 5 11 32:26 35
7 Bamenda 26 10 4 12 41:42 34
8 Gazelle 26 9 6 11 24:29 33
9 Victoria United 26 10 3 13 33:42 33
10 Stade Renard 26 7 10 9 36:38 31
11 Aigle Moungo 26 8 6 12 25:38 30
12 Aigle Royal 26 7 8 11 30:33 29
13 AS Fortuna Mfou 26 5 6 15 20:48 21
14 Fauve Azur Elite 26 5 2 19 17:57 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Elite One (Relegation)