Sport Picks

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Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Aigle Noir and Olympic Star finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aigle Noir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Aigle Noir
15%
Draws
31%
Olympic Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aigle Noir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Aigle Noir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aigle Noir are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 20%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Olympic Star
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
3:1
Mar 12, 2026 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Aigle Noir
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Aigle Noir
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 67 / 100
Olympic Star 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Olympic Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aigle Noir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Olympic Star conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Aigle Noir went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Olympic Star
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
08 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Rukinzo
15 May
Aigle Noir
0 : 1
Rukinzo
09 May
Aigle Noir
1 : 0
Garage Express
05 May
Vital'O
0 : 2
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 7

Olympic Star

(Away)
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
27 Apr
Inter Star
1 : 2
Olympic Star
12 Apr
Olympic Star
1 : 1
Vital'O
20 Mar
Royal Vision
3 : 0
Olympic Star
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Messager Ngozi 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Aigle Noir 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 Vital'O 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Rukinzo 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Royal Vision 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Ngozi City 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Muzinga 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Never Give Up Academy 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Flambeau du Centre 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Kayanza United 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
11 Inter Star 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Panthere Noir 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 Musongati 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Bumamuru 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Olympic Star 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
16 Young Star 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)