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Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Primus League
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AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Aigle Noir and Olympic Star finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aigle Noir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aigle Noir
35%
Draws
45%
Olympic Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olympic Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Aigle Noir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 18%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Olympic Star
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
3:1
Mar 12, 2026 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Aigle Noir
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Aigle Noir
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 32 / 100
Olympic Star 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Olympic Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Olympic Star conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Aigle Noir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Olympic Star
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
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Olympic Star

(Away)
10 Oct
Olympic Star
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
03 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Olympic Star
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 7 6 1 0 22:3 19
2 Muzinga 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Aigle Noir 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
4 Le Messager Ngozi 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Musongati 7 3 1 3 8:8 10
6 Olympic Star 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Ngozi City 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
8 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
9 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 7:10 8
10 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
11 Flambeau du Centre 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
12 Never Give Up Academy 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
13 Kayanza United 7 0 5 2 3:7 5
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Young Star 7 0 2 5 3:20 2
16 Panthere Noir 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)