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Aigle Noir vs Vital'O

Burundi Burundi

Coupe du President
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aigle Noir
30%
Draws
51%
Vital'O
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vital'O

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vital'O haven't matched Aigle Noir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vital'O's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Aigle Noir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vital'O, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 19%
Vital'O Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Vital'O
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Primus League
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
3:2
May 5, 2026 Coupe du President
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
0:2
May 3, 2026 Coupe du President
Aigle Noir vs Vital'O
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Vital'O
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primus League
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 24 / 100
Vital'O 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Vital'O

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vital'O Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aigle Noir's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Vital'O has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aigle Noir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Vital'O
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 7

Vital'O

(Away)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
30 Aug
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Vital'O
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Vital'O
1 : 1
Inter Star
09 May
Royal Vision
0 : 1
Vital'O
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dynamik 1
Aigle Noir 2
Kayanza United 0
Vital'O 5
Muzinga 3
Ngozi City 4
Rocky City Nyanza 1
Rukinzo 11
Semi-finals
Aigle Noir 3
Vital'O 2
Ngozi City 0
Rukinzo 1
Final
Aigle Noir 0
Rukinzo 1