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Aigles du Congo vs Bukavu Dawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aigles du Congo
35%
Draws
19%
Bukavu Dawa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aigles du Congo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Aigles du Congo have won more games recently than Bukavu Dawa.
  • Model gives Aigles du Congo a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Aigles du Congo Clean Sheet 20%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigles du Congo Bukavu Dawa
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 16 2
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Aigles du Congo vs Bukavu Dawa
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Aigles du Congo
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Aigles du Congo vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Dec 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Aigles du Congo
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Aigles du Congo vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigles du Congo 40 / 100
Bukavu Dawa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigles du Congo Bukavu Dawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aigles du Congo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bukavu Dawa conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Aigles du Congo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Aigles du Congo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aigles du Congo VS Bukavu Dawa
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigles du Congo

(Home)
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
20 Jun
Don Bosco
1 : 2
Aigles du Congo
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
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Bukavu Dawa

(Away)
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0
AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0
Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)