Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AIK vs Sirius

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ure R.
Assist: Svensson V.
31'
Celic D.
37' Event
Ure R.
Assist: Krusnell O.

AI Match Summary

Sirius in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sirius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AIK
44%
Draws
20%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AIK haven't matched Sirius's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Sirius
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Sirius
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Sirius
2:1
Jun 19, 2025 Club Friendly
AIK vs Sirius
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs AIK
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
AIK vs Sirius
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Ure R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castegren H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 34 / 100
Sirius 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AIK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sirius let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: AIK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Sirius
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
05 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
AIK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
22 Jun
AIK
0 : 2
Kalmar
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Sirius

(Away)
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
12 Jul
Brommapojkarna
1 : 2
Sirius
03 Jul
Sirius
4 : 4
Mjallby
26 Jun
Sirius
1 : 1
Djurgarden
30 May
AIK
0 : 3
Sirius
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4AIK1363418:1821
5Djurgarden1262426:1520
6Malmo FF1362527:2220
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1324714:3110
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)