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Aiolikos FC vs PAOK B

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aiolikos FC play PAOK B in the Super League 2 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aiolikos FC averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. PAOK B averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Aiolikos FC won 0, PAOK B won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 29, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Aiolikos FC and 0.99 for PAOK B. This points to a PAOK B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aiolikos FC
31%
Draws
50%
PAOK B
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: PAOK B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Aiolikos FC picked up more points recently compared to PAOK B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Aiolikos FC Clean Sheet 23%
PAOK B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aiolikos FC PAOK B
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 4 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.08

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2024 Super League 2
Aiolikos FC vs PAOK B
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Super League 2
PAOK B vs Aiolikos FC
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Super League 2
Aiolikos FC vs PAOK B
2:2
Oct 21, 2023 Super League 2
PAOK B vs Aiolikos FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aiolikos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krimitzas G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

PAOK B Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsopouroglou D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aiolikos FC 22 / 100
PAOK B 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aiolikos FC PAOK B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: PAOK B or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aiolikos FC attacking → ← attacking PAOK B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aiolikos FC scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

PAOK B let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Aiolikos FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

PAOK B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 59
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Levadiakos22174136:955
2AEL Larissa22147132:1249
3Niki Volos221021033:2432
4AEK B2288623:1732
5Makedonikos Neapolis22710524:2331
6PAOK B22931031:2730
7Karditsa2285922:2429
8Iraklis FC2278725:2029
9Kozani FC22661010:1724
10Kampaniakos22721318:3223
11Aiolikos FC22471120:3613
12Apollon Kalamaria22321712:4511
13Almopos00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Athens Kallithea22145331:1447
2PAE Chania (Kissamikos)22135439:1444
3Ionikos22106634:2336
4Kalamata22106627:1536
5Ilioupoli22112920:2335
6Diagoras FC22831121:3027
7PAE Egaleo22741115:2525
8Olympiacos Piraeus B2289531:2123
9Giouchtas22571020:2822
10Panathinaikos B22631319:3621
11Panachaiki2249924:3221
12Tilikratis Lefkada22531417:3718