Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletic Club vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Jota
46'
Sub
Jota In: Vera D.
Out: Jota
52'
Cabezas G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Athletic Club and Operario-PR finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Athletic Club
35%
Draws
37%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Athletic Club haven't matched Operario-PR's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Athletic Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Athletic Club here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 20%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Operario-PR
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Operario-PR
0:1
Oct 8, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club
1:4
Jun 14, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Operario-PR
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club 36 / 100
Operario-PR 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Athletic Club scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Athletic Club has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club VS Operario-PR
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club

(Home)
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
11 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
12 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
13 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)