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Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
McLeish L.
Assist: Gibson L.
36'
Burnside C.
51'
Fisher S.

AI Match Summary

Airdrieonians in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Airdrieonians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Airdrieonians
15%
Draws
18%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Airdrieonians haven't matched Alloa's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Airdrieonians taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 68%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Alloa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League One
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:0
May 9, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer McLeish L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Alloa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 50 / 100
Alloa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Airdrieonians scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Alloa conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Alloa
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)