Sport Picks

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Airdrieonians vs Alloa

Scotland Scotland

League One Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Airdrieonians host Alloa in the League One. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Airdrieonians have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Alloa's 1.54 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Airdrieonians have won 2 to Alloa's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back Alloa to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Airdrieonians
30%
Draws
41%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Airdrieonians haven't matched Alloa's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Alloa taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 15%
Alloa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Alloa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
2:3
Apr 1, 2023 League One
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 27 / 100
Alloa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Airdrieonians scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Alloa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Airdrieonians remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Alloa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3
Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 1
East Kilbride
01 Aug
Cove Rangers
0 : 0
Airdrieonians
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
15 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Montrose
11 Aug
Alloa
2 : 1
Stranraer
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Alloa
01 Aug
Alloa
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamilton 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 East Kilbride 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Ross County 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4 Peterhead 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
5 Alloa 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
6 East Fife 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
7 Airdrieonians 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
8 Cove Rangers 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
9 Queen of the South 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
10 Montrose 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)