Sport Picks
Airdrieonians vs Berwick
Scotland
Challenge Cup Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie 
Match Events
7'
7'
Simpson E.
Assist: Gibson L.
9'
9'
McKinnon C.
Assist: Gibson L.
44'
44'
Smith C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 7-1. The second leg ended 7-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Airdrieonians haven't matched Berwick's recent run of results.
- Airdrieonians are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Berwick arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Airdrieonians, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Airdrieonians have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 68%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Airdrieonians | Berwick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Airdrieonians vs Berwick
7:1
Aug 14, 2018 Challenge Cup
Berwick vs Airdrieonians
0:3
Jul 21, 2018 League Cup
Berwick vs Airdrieonians
0:3
Mar 5, 2008 League One
Airdrieonians vs Berwick
3:0
Dec 29, 2007 League One
Berwick vs Airdrieonians
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Airdrieonians Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith C.
3 Goals Assists Leader Simpson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Berwick Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbewe M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Airdrieonians 95 / 100
Berwick 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Airdrieonians Berwick
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Airdrieonians's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Berwick has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Airdrieonians went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Airdrieonians VS Berwick
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Airdrieonians
(Home) 22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2 Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1 Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
29 Aug
Airdrieonians
0 : 0 East Fife
25 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3 Stirling
22 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3 Ross County
Page 1 of 3
Berwick
(Away) 22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2 Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0 Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1 Berwick
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2 Tranent FC
08 Sept
Berwick
1 : 0 Hibernian B
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1 Berwick
29 Aug
Broxburn Athletic
2 : 0 Berwick
25 Aug
Annan
2 : 2 Berwick
08 Aug
Brechin
4 : 3 Berwick
25 Jul
Lochee United
1 : 1 Berwick
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peterhead | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Clydebank FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Alloa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 4 | East Kilbride | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Stirling | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 7 | Elgin City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 9 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 9 | Ross County | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 10 | Airdrieonians | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 11 | Montrose | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 12 | Hearts B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Queen of the South | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 14 | Celtic B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 16 | East Fife | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Aberdeen B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 18 | Berwick | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 19 | St. Mirren B | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 6 |
| 20 | Rangers B | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 21 | Formartine Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Hamilton | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 23 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 6 |
| 24 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 25 | Annan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 5 |
| 26 | Kilmarnock B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 27 | Dumbarton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 28 | Banks O' Dee | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 29 | Stranraer | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 3 |
| 30 | Clachnacuddin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 3 |
| 31 | Dundee Utd B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | 3 |
| 32 | Cumbernauld Colts | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 33 | Forfar Athletic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 34 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:13 | 1 |
| 35 | Fraserburgh | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Cowdenbeath | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 37 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 38 | Hibernian B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 39 | Clyde | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
