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Airdrieonians vs Falkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mebude D.
73' Event
Henderson L.
86' Event
MacIver R.

AI Match Summary

Falkirk in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkirk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Airdrieonians
20%
Draws
20%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Falkirk lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • Airdrieonians are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Falkirk here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 18%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Falkirk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Airdrieonians vs Falkirk
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Championship
Falkirk vs Airdrieonians
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Falkirk
0:3
Nov 9, 2024 Championship
Falkirk vs Airdrieonians
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Falkirk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mebude D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader MacIver R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 85 / 100
Falkirk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Airdrieonians stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Airdrieonians's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Falkirk conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Falkirk
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
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Falkirk

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
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