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Airdrieonians vs Falkirk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mebude D.
73' Event
Henderson L.
86' Event
MacIver R.

AI Match Summary

Falkirk in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkirk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Airdrieonians
6%
Draws
90%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Falkirk lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • Falkirk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Falkirk here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 15%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Falkirk
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 1
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Airdrieonians vs Falkirk
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Championship
Falkirk vs Airdrieonians
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Falkirk
0:3
Nov 9, 2024 Championship
Falkirk vs Airdrieonians
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Falkirk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mebude D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader MacIver R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 10 / 100
Falkirk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Falkirk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Airdrieonians stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Falkirk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3
Ross County
18 Jul
Airdrieonians
3 : 0
Annan
14 Jul
Clyde
1 : 0
Airdrieonians
11 Jul
Dundee FC
4 : 2
Airdrieonians
07 Jul
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Falkirk
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Falkirk

(Away)
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
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