Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

League One Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Airdrieonians host Hamilton in the League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Hamilton have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Airdrieonians have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Hamilton slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.75) back Hamilton to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Airdrieonians
15%
Draws
47%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 12%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Hamilton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.31 2
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
4:0
Mar 8, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
2:1
Dec 28, 2024 Championship
Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 35 / 100
Hamilton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Airdrieonians scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Airdrieonians remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Hamilton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Hamilton
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1
Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 7 6 1 0 22:4 19
2 Hamilton 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Montrose 8 5 0 3 13:13 15
4 East Kilbride 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
5 Alloa 8 2 3 3 8:6 9
6 Airdrieonians 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
7 East Fife 8 1 5 2 7:7 8
8 Peterhead 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
9 Cove Rangers 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
10 Queen of the South 8 1 1 6 6:24 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)