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Airdrieonians vs Montrose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Lyons B.
49' Event
Gibson L.
(Penalty)
52'
Barjonas J.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Airdrieonians and Montrose finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Airdrieonians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Airdrieonians
15%
Draws
24%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montrose come out ahead of Airdrieonians on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Airdrieonians's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Airdrieonians have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 16%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Montrose
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 League One
Airdrieonians vs Montrose
1:0
Jan 6, 2026 Challenge Cup
Airdrieonians vs Montrose
3:1
Jul 23, 2025 League Cup
Montrose vs Airdrieonians
1:2
Apr 8, 2023 League One
Airdrieonians vs Montrose
3:0
Dec 23, 2022 League One
Montrose vs Airdrieonians
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 84 / 100
Montrose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Montrose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Airdrieonians stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Airdrieonians found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Montrose let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Montrose
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Montrose

(Away)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)