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AJ Soccer vs Baalor Sarr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Gambia Gambia

FF Cup
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
1 - 2
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AJ Soccer
15%
Draws
45%
Baalor Sarr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baalor Sarr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baalor Sarr lately — more wins on the board than AJ Soccer.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on AJ Soccer taking it.
  • Baalor Sarr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Baalor Sarr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
AJ Soccer Clean Sheet 68%
Baalor Sarr Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJ Soccer Baalor Sarr
Matches Played 3 4
Wins 2 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 1
Goals Scored 1.67 1
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 FF Cup
AJ Soccer vs Baalor Sarr
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJ Soccer 50 / 100
Baalor Sarr 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJ Soccer Baalor Sarr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJ Soccer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AJ Soccer's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Baalor Sarr let in goals in 50% of their last 4 matches.

AJ Soccer has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AJ Soccer VS Baalor Sarr
1.67 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AJ Soccer

(Home)
05 Jul
AJ Soccer
1 : 2
Baalor Sarr
02 Jun
Steve Biko
0 : 1
AJ Soccer
20 May
AJ Soccer
3 : 0
Kanifing East

Baalor Sarr

(Away)
05 Jul
AJ Soccer
1 : 2
Baalor Sarr
02 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Baalor Sarr
20 May
Medina United
0 : 1
Baalor Sarr
14 May
Baalor Sarr
0 : 2
Hawks

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
North Star 7
Steve Biko 8
AJ Soccer 3
Kanifing East 0
Gambia Ports 3
Hart Academy 1
Medina United 0
Baalor Sarr 1
Semi-finals
Steve Biko 0
AJ Soccer 1
Gambia Ports 0
Baalor Sarr 1
Final
AJ Soccer 1
Baalor Sarr 2