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AJAC da Calheta vs Vulcanico

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017
Sat, May 13, 2017
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AJAC da Calheta host Vulcanico in the Campeonato Nacional 2017. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: AJAC da Calheta at 1.17 goals for, 1.83 against; Vulcanico at 0.73 for, 1.42 against. Past meetings favor AJAC da Calheta slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2017, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.29) point toward Vulcanico. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AJAC da Calheta
30%
Draws
41%
Vulcanico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vulcanico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Vulcanico have won more games recently than AJAC da Calheta.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AJAC da Calheta Clean Sheet 19%
Vulcanico Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJAC da Calheta Vulcanico
Matches Played 6 26
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico vs AJAC da Calheta
1:2
May 31, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
AJAC da Calheta vs Vulcanico
2:3
May 13, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
AJAC da Calheta vs Vulcanico
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJAC da Calheta 32 / 100
Vulcanico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJAC da Calheta Vulcanico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vulcanico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AJAC da Calheta's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Vulcanico let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AJAC da Calheta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AJAC da Calheta VS Vulcanico
1 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AJAC da Calheta

(Home)
17 Jun
AJAC da Calheta
2 : 2
Onze Unidos
10 Jun
AJAC da Calheta
0 : 2
Ultramarina
03 Jun
Vulcanico
1 : 2
AJAC da Calheta
31 May
AJAC da Calheta
2 : 3
Vulcanico
27 May
Onze Unidos
1 : 1
AJAC da Calheta
Page 1 of 2

Vulcanico

(Away)
12 May
Vulcanico
1 : 1
Barreirense
05 May
Palmeira
1 : 0
Vulcanico
28 Apr
Sporting Praia
1 : 0
Vulcanico
22 Apr
Vulcanico
2 : 1
Sporting Praia
14 Apr
Barreirense
0 : 1
Vulcanico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams