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Ajax (Am) vs Jong Almere City

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Ajax (Am) and Jong Almere City finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Almere City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ajax (Am)
15%
Draws
85%
Jong Almere City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Almere City come out ahead of Ajax (Am) on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jong Almere City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 13%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax (Am) Jong Almere City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Ajax (Am) vs Jong Almere City
3:4
Mar 28, 2020 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Jong Almere City
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 Derde Divisie
Jong Almere City vs Ajax (Am)
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax (Am) 22 / 100
Jong Almere City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax (Am) Jong Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax (Am) found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Jong Almere City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Jong Almere City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax (Am) VS Jong Almere City
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax (Am)

(Home)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
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Jong Almere City

(Away)
03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4
Jong Almere City
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3
Spakenburg
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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