Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax U19 vs Hammarby U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Rylander J.
35' Event
Ylatupa S.
46'
Sub
Alm D. In: Mitander M.
Out: Alm D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Ajax U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ajax U19
20%
Draws
23%
Hammarby U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajax U19 come out ahead of Hammarby U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ajax U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Ajax U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ajax U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Hammarby U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax U19 Hammarby U19
Matches Played 33 16
Wins 17 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.79 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Ajax U19 vs Hammarby U19
2:0
Sep 26, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Hammarby U19 vs Ajax U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ylatupa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunnely C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Hammarby U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax U19 95 / 100
Hammarby U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax U19 Hammarby U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Hammarby U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 16 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ajax U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax U19 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax U19

(Home)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 7

Hammarby U19

(Away)
17 Feb
Hammarby TFF
7 : 2
Hammarby U19
04 Dec
Odds BK U19
1 : 6
Hammarby U19
02 Dec
Hammarby U19
2 : 2
Silkeborg U19
29 Nov
Norrkoping U19
6 : 0
Hammarby U19
20 Oct
Hammarby U19
1 : 2
Rangers U19
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zimbru Chisinau U19 7
Vllaznia U19 3
UC Dublin U19 3
Molde U19 4
Din. Bucuresti U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 4
Ludogorets U19 3
Zeljeznicar U19 4
Inter U19 5
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Esbjerg U19 4
KaPa U19 2
Legia U19 3
Breidablik U19 1
Hammarby U19 0
Ajax U19 6
Brodarac U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Bursaspor U19 1
Saburtalo Tbilisi U19 2
FK Liepaja U19 2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk U19 4
Nitra U19 2
Shkendija Tetovo U19 1
Kairat Almaty U19 2
Krasnodar U19 11
Sutjeska U19 2
Honved U19 3
Dudelange U19 1
Sparta Prague U19 7
Bordeaux U19 0
Salzburg U19 5
Final
Zimbru Chisinau U19 0
Molde U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 1
Zeljeznicar U19 1
Inter U19 10
Esbjerg U19 1
Legia U19 3
Ajax U19 4
Brodarac U19 3
Saburtalo Tbilisi U19 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk U19 2
Nitra U19 3
Krasnodar U19 9
Honved U19 1
Sparta Prague U19 2
Salzburg U19 6