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Ajax U19 vs PAOK U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Ajax U19 Logo

Ajax U19

2 - 1
FT
PAOK U19 Logo

PAOK U19

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Gialamoudis R.
44'
Matthaiou N.
46'
Sub
de Wit M. In: Flemming Z.
Out: de Wit M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ajax U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Ajax U19
15%
Draws
32%
PAOK U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajax U19 lately — more wins on the board than PAOK U19.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Ajax U19 taking it.
  • Ajax U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ajax U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 68%
PAOK U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax U19 PAOK U19
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 15 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.68 1.05
Goals Conceded 2 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Ajax U19 vs PAOK U19
2:1
Nov 2, 2016 UEFA Youth League
PAOK U19 vs Ajax U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierhuis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

PAOK U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimitriou K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax U19 86 / 100
PAOK U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax U19 PAOK U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: PAOK U19 conceded in 68% of 19 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ajax U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax U19 VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax U19

(Home)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 7

PAOK U19

(Away)
09 Dec
PAOK U19
1 : 2
Legia U19
25 Nov
Legia U19
2 : 1
PAOK U19
05 Nov
PAOK U19
2 : 0
KA Akureyri U19
22 Oct
KA Akureyri U19
0 : 2
PAOK U19
20 Oct
Zilina U19
2 : 0
PAOK U19
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Puskas Akademia U19 1
PAOK U19 1
Breidablik U19 0
Ajax U19 7
APOEL U19 1
AS Roma U19 9
HJK U19 0
Cork City U19 1
Nitra U19 2
Malaga U19 8
Anderlecht U19 1
Midtjylland U19 3
Rosenborg U19 3
AIK U19 1
Domzale U19 2
Cukaricki U19 5
Altinordu U19 6
Levski Sofia U19 1
Sparta Prague U19 9
Mladost Podgorica U19 0
FC Viitorul U19 5
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 1
Zrinjski U19 0
Zurich U19 9
Maccabi Haifa U19 8
Shakhtyor Soligorsk U19 2
Gabala U19 0
Dynamo Moscow U19 7
Salzburg U19 8
Vardar U19 0
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 1
Kairat Almaty U19 8
Final
PAOK U19 1
Ajax U19 4
AS Roma U19 4
Cork City U19 1
Malaga U19 2
Midtjylland U19 4
Rosenborg U19 2
Cukaricki U19 1
Altinordu U19 8
Sparta Prague U19 5
FC Viitorul U19 5
Zurich U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Dynamo Moscow U19 1
Salzburg U19 9
Kairat Almaty U19 1