Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax vs RFC Seraing

World World

Club Friendly Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Steur S.
Assist: Bounida R.
37' Event
Konadu D.
Assist: Moro R.
46'
Sub
Moro R. In: Godts M.
Out: Moro R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ajax and RFC Seraing finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ajax
6%
Draws
4%
RFC Seraing
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajax come out ahead of RFC Seraing on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ajax's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ajax Clean Sheet 20%
RFC Seraing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax RFC Seraing
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs RFC Seraing
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Steur S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konadu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

RFC Seraing Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 85 / 100
RFC Seraing 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax RFC Seraing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ajax stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: RFC Seraing conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS RFC Seraing
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1
Burnley
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 4
Ajax
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
15 Jul
Ajax
1 : 1
Bochum
10 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
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RFC Seraing

(Away)
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
22 Jul
Feignies-Aulnoye
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
17 Jul
Metz
6 : 0
RFC Seraing
14 Jul
RFC Seraing
0 : 0
Maastricht
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