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Ajax W vs Hammarby W

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Ajax W Logo

Ajax W

1 - 3
FT
Hammarby W Logo

Hammarby W

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Blakstad J.
Assist: Holmberg S.
52' Event
Josendal A.
55'
Sub
Noordermeer D. In: van Asten R.
Out: Noordermeer D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Hammarby W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ajax W
15%
Draws
42%
Hammarby W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby W come out ahead of Ajax W on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Ajax W taking it.
  • Hammarby W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hammarby W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 10%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W Hammarby W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.11 2.32
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Hammarby W vs Ajax W
3:1
Nov 12, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Ajax W vs Hammarby W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer van de Velde J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blakstad J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Josendal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 65 / 100
Hammarby W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W Hammarby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ajax W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hammarby W conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS Hammarby W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
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Hammarby W

(Away)
26 Sept
Hammarby W
3 : 0
Eskilstuna United W
23 Sept
Hammarby W
2 : 0
Rangers W
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
09 Sept
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sparta Prague W 4
Young Boys W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 1
Austria Vienna W 3
Glasgow City W 2
Sporting W 4
Ajax W 2
Hammarby W 6
PSV W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Nordsjaelland W 5
ZNK Mura W 0
Hacken W 1
Inter W 0
Breidablik W 4
Fortuna Hjorring W 3
Quarter-finals
Sparta Prague W 3
Austria Vienna W 1
Sporting W 1
Hammarby W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 7
Nordsjaelland W 2
Hacken W 11
Breidablik W 1
Semi-finals
Sparta Prague W 2
Hammarby W 5
Eintracht Frankfurt W 1
Hacken W 3
Final
Hammarby W 2
Hacken W 4