Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax W vs PEC Zwolle W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kip X.
Assist: Visscher A.
46'
Sub
van Vugt S. In: Zijp I.
Out: van Vugt S.
46'
Sub
Dijsselhof J. In: Janssen A.
Out: Dijsselhof J.

AI Match Summary

Ajax W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ajax W
15%
Draws
28%
PEC Zwolle W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax W have won more games recently than PEC Zwolle W.
  • Ajax W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ajax W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 19%
PEC Zwolle W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W PEC Zwolle W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.11 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs PEC Zwolle W
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs PEC Zwolle W
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs Ajax W
7:1
Jan 26, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs Ajax W
0:4
Sep 29, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs PEC Zwolle W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kip X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

PEC Zwolle W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 85 / 100
PEC Zwolle W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W PEC Zwolle W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajax W scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

PEC Zwolle W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ajax W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS PEC Zwolle W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
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PEC Zwolle W

(Away)
26 Sept
Feyenoord W
2 : 3
PEC Zwolle W
20 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 3
De Graafschap W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 4
Den Haag W
22 Aug
Ajax W
1 : 0
PEC Zwolle W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 6 6 0 0 27:3 18
2 Ajax W 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
3 AZ Alkmaar W 6 4 0 2 9:13 12
4 PSV W 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
5 Heerenveen W 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
6 Den Haag W 6 2 1 3 12:22 7
7 PEC Zwolle W 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
8 De Graafschap W 6 2 0 4 7:12 6
9 Feyenoord W 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
10 Utrecht W 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)