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AJEL vs ASC Jaraaf Prediction & H2H Stats

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
AJEL Logo

AJEL

1 - 0
FT
ASC Jaraaf Logo

ASC Jaraaf

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between AJEL and ASC Jaraaf finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AJEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AJEL
35%
Draws
31%
ASC Jaraaf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AJEL come out ahead of ASC Jaraaf on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
AJEL Clean Sheet 68%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJEL ASC Jaraaf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 14
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
AJEL vs ASC Jaraaf
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs AJEL
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs ASC Jaraaf
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs AJEL
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJEL 42 / 100
ASC Jaraaf 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJEL ASC Jaraaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AJEL scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

AJEL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: ASC Jaraaf conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AJEL VS ASC Jaraaf
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AJEL

(Home)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
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ASC Jaraaf

(Away)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)