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AJEL vs Sonacos

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
AJEL Logo

AJEL

1 - 0
FT
Sonacos Logo

Sonacos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between AJEL and Sonacos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AJEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AJEL
35%
Draws
15%
Sonacos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AJEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sonacos haven't matched AJEL's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AJEL's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
AJEL Clean Sheet 68%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJEL Sonacos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 9 13
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Sonacos
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs AJEL
1:1
May 20, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Sonacos
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs AJEL
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJEL 77 / 100
Sonacos 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJEL Sonacos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AJEL scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sonacos conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AJEL remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AJEL VS Sonacos
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AJEL

(Home)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
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Sonacos

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)