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Ajka vs Karcagi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB II.
Ajka Logo

Ajka

1 - 1
FT
Karcagi Logo

Karcagi

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Fekete O. In: Girsik A.
Out: Fekete O.
53'
Sub
Tollar I. In: Mohos B.
Out: Tollar I.
59'
Sub
Bela L. In: Egri I.
Out: Bela L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NB II. game between Ajka and Karcagi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ajka
15%
Draws
37%
Karcagi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Karcagi haven't matched Ajka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ajka's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular NB II. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ajka Clean Sheet 18%
Karcagi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajka Karcagi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.11 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NB II.
Ajka vs Karcagi
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 NB II.
Karcagi vs Ajka
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 NB II.
Ajka vs Karcagi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajka Compare

Top Goalscorer Toth G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Karcagi Compare

Top Goalscorer Egri I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajka 36 / 100
Karcagi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajka Karcagi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karcagi let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Ajka scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Ajka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ajka VS Karcagi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajka

(Home)
02 Oct
Komarno
4 : 2
Ajka
19 Sept
Ajka
1 : 0
Csakvari
12 Sept
Ajka
3 : 2
BVSC-Zuglo
05 Sept
Ajka
0 : 3
Soroksar
30 Aug
Szentlorinc SE
0 : 1
Ajka
Page 1 of 6

Karcagi

(Away)
20 Sept
Karcagi
1 : 1
Kozarmisleny SE
13 Sept
Karcagi
1 : 5
Gyor
05 Sept
Gyirmot FC Gyor
2 : 0
Karcagi
30 Aug
Karcagi
2 : 1
Videoton
22 Aug
BVSC-Zuglo
1 : 4
Karcagi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Soroksar 8 6 2 0 23:7 20
2 Kecskemeti TE 8 5 2 1 15:8 17
3 Tiszakecske 8 4 4 0 17:10 16
4 Ajka 7 4 2 1 9:6 14
5 Gyirmot FC Gyor 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
6 Kazincbarcika 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Mezokovesd-Zsory 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
8 Karcagi 8 2 5 1 13:11 11
9 Szentlorinc SE 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
10 Videoton 8 3 0 5 11:11 9
11 Nagykanizsa FC 8 3 0 5 7:10 9
12 DVTK 7 2 1 4 8:15 7
13 Szeged-Csanad GA 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
14 BVSC-Zuglo 7 1 1 5 4:9 4
15 Kozarmisleny SE 8 1 1 6 6:16 4
16 Csakvari 8 1 1 6 8:19 4
Promotion - NB I. 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NB I. (Relegation)